Crude Prices Jump After Trump Warning to Iran

Oil prices rose on Wednesday after U.S. President Donald Trump scolded Iran in a Truth Social post following tit-for-tat strikes between the U.S. and Iran overnight.

Brent futures were up 93 cents, or 1%, at $92.38 a barrel by 1321 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was up $1.1, or 1.25%, at $89.30 a barrel.

“They’ve taken too long to negotiate a deal that would have been great for them, now they will have to pay the price!!!” Trump said on Truth Social.

Oil prices jumped after the post, having traded more or less steady from the previous close for much of the European morning session.

Trump said he is close to ordering new strikes against Iranian power plants and bridges as Iran is taking too long to make a deal, according to Fox News.

“The hope for a deal has kept oil prices under pressure in recent days, although flows through the Strait (of Hormuz) remain restricted. Obviously the market now awaits what U.S. President Trump will do next,” UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.

Focus back on war risks

The U.S. military struck Iranian targets after Trump vowed on Tuesday to respond to the downing of a U.S. Apache attack helicopter.

The latest attacks shifted traders’ focus back towards war risks and potential supply disruptions, said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.

“While diplomatic efforts remain ongoing, the latest military exchanges have reintroduced a geopolitical risk premium into oil markets,” Sachdeva said.

Tehran meanwhile said it would resume hostilities if Israel continued to attack the Hezbollah militia in Lebanon.

Israel’s refusal to end its campaign against Iran-backed Hezbollah has helped hinder Trump’s efforts to extend a tenuous ceasefire in the wider U.S.-Israeli war with Iran into a durable settlement.

Global stock draws are underpinning prices, but lower Chinese crude oil imports are helping to keep a ceiling on prices, PVM analyst Tamas Varga said.

A limited flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz could also be capping prices, he said, as some ships transit, but traffic remains significantly below pre-war levels.

Analysts at JP Morgan forecast Brent to average around $100 a barrel through most of the remainder of 2026.

Iran has continued to block most shipping through the Strait, which normally carries a fifth of the world’s crude oil and liquefied natural gas, while Washington has imposed its own blockade of Iranian ports.

U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright said on Tuesday that ship traffic in the Gulf and oil exports through the Strait are rising even as Washington and Tehran struggle to reach a deal to end their more than three-month-old war.

U.S. crude oil inventories fell for an eighth straight week last week, according to market sources citing Tuesday’s data from the American Petroleum Institute, while gasoline stocks also declined.

Read more: Oil prices climb more than R66 after Israeli strikes on Iran, Lebanon

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  • Oil prices rose significantly after U.S. President Trump criticized Iran on Truth Social following overnight military strikes between the U.S. and Iran.
  • Brent crude increased by 1% to $92.38 per barrel, and West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.25% to $89.30 per barrel.
  • The U.S. military attacked Iranian targets after Iran downed a U.S. Apache helicopter, escalating war risks and geopolitical tensions impacting oil markets.
  • Iran threatened to resume hostilities if Israel continued attacking Hezbollah in Lebanon, complicating ceasefire efforts involving the U.S. and Iran.
  • Supply concerns persist due to restricted shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and ongoing geopolitical instability, while U.S. crude inventories declined for the eighth straight week.
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Oil prices rose on Wednesday after U.S. President Donald Trump scolded Iran in a Truth Social post following tit-for-tat strikes between the U.S. and Iran overnight.

Brent futures were up 93 cents, or 1%, at $92.38 a barrel by 1321 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was up $1.1, or 1.25%, at $89.30 a barrel.

"They've taken too long to negotiate a deal that would have been great for them, now they will have to pay the price!!!" Trump said on Truth Social.

Oil prices jumped after the post, having traded more or less steady from the previous close for much of the European morning session.

Trump said he is close to ordering new strikes against Iranian power plants and bridges as Iran is taking too long to make a deal, according to Fox News.

"The hope for a deal has kept oil prices under pressure in recent days, although flows through the Strait (of Hormuz) remain restricted. Obviously the market now awaits what U.S. President Trump will do next," UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.

Focus back on war risks

The U.S. military struck Iranian targets after Trump vowed on Tuesday to respond to the downing of a U.S. Apache attack helicopter.

The latest attacks shifted traders' focus back towards war risks and potential supply disruptions, said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.

"While diplomatic efforts remain ongoing, the latest military exchanges have reintroduced a geopolitical risk premium into oil markets," Sachdeva said.

Tehran meanwhile said it would resume hostilities if Israel continued to attack the Hezbollah militia in Lebanon.

Israel's refusal to end its campaign against Iran-backed Hezbollah has helped hinder Trump's efforts to extend a tenuous ceasefire in the wider U.S.-Israeli war with Iran into a durable settlement.

Global stock draws are underpinning prices, but lower Chinese crude oil imports are helping to keep a ceiling on prices, PVM analyst Tamas Varga said.

A limited flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz could also be capping prices, he said, as some ships transit, but traffic remains significantly below pre-war levels.

Analysts at JP Morgan forecast Brent to average around $100 a barrel through most of the remainder of 2026.

Iran has continued to block most shipping through the Strait, which normally carries a fifth of the world's crude oil and liquefied natural gas, while Washington has imposed its own blockade of Iranian ports.

U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright said on Tuesday that ship traffic in the Gulf and oil exports through the Strait are rising even as Washington and Tehran struggle to reach a deal to end their more than three-month-old war.

U.S. crude oil inventories fell for an eighth straight week last week, according to market sources citing Tuesday's data from the American Petroleum Institute, while gasoline stocks also declined.

Read more: Oil prices climb more than R66 after Israeli strikes on Iran, Lebanon

Visit SW YouTube Channel for our video content

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